That a similar set of experiences can be interpreted differently, depending on the point of view of the observer, is a foundation of modern social science.  There is no one privileged platform, no single true understanding of events.  With that in mind, it is instructive to look at three very different contemporary reflections on the events since 11 September 2001.  They are, by no means, the only three, and, as mentioned above, none can claim to have any more authority than any other. 

Let us begin with a piece published in the Washington Post this week.  In it, several atypical U.S. Army officers are showcased.  They have served multiple tours in Iraq and/or Afghanistan and have a variety of emotional and rational ‘take aways’ from their experiences.  Well educated, bright, and articulate, these officers (as portrayed by the Washington Post, at any rate) seem rather downhearted.  They mourn the loss of those close to them (American comrades and local interlocutors), but more than that, they seem to struggle to make sense of the larger significance of what they went through.  As one of them commented in 2006,

If Iraq is to teach us anything, it must be that a new idea cannot be beat into a society.” 

Four years on, in both Iraq and Afghanistan, there is much to support this opinion, but much to refute it as well.  As operations ‘begin to wind down’ in Iraq and perhaps Afghanistan too (depending on how elastic one’s definitions are of  ‘begin’ and ‘wind down’), the US Army, at an individual level, will be conducting–implicitly–literally millions of ‘after action reviews’.  The conclusions, from this perspective, will run the gamut from support to cynicism, from moral defeat to martial triumph. 

At the level of the institution, though, the Army cannot afford to have such a panoply of lessons learned.  The Army must do its best to form an opinion, and move on from it, as it has done (and as all organisations do) in the past.  These lessons learned are not always honestly arrived at, not always in keeping with the preponderance of evidence, not based on the sum of opinion..  Despite being institutional, the Army perspective on Iraq and Afghanistan is formulated by human beings and not merely the ‘average’ experience dispassionately recorded by the disembodied hand of history.   As such, Army documents, such as the Army Operating Concept, lay down vignettes and snippets of experience so that they may act as tropes, functioning, according to the philosopher of History Hayden White, to turn one thing into another in order to create meaning.  Technically, these instrumental perspectives allow for a form of narrative constructivism, and go beyond a mere record of what happened.  For instance, in the AOC, the US Army uses operations in Afghanistan and Iraq as proof for the need to create and maintain a balanced force into the future, all the way out to 2028.  There needs to be a conventional component to strategy and action:

Army forces conduct combined arms maneuver to gain physical, temporal, and psychological advantages over an enemy.

But this needs to be tempered by a healthy dose of  the ‘unconventional’ (don’t mention COIN, please):

Army forces employ combined arms maneuver and wide area security to seize, retain, and exploit the initiative.  Wide area security is the application of the elements of combat power in coordination with other military and civilian capabilities to deny the enemy positions of advantage; protect forces, populations, infrastructure, and activities; and consolidate tactical and operational gains to set conditions for achieving strategic and policy goals.

Call it compromise, call it dialectic, call it pragmatism, call it tidy.  Note that this institutional perspective may be at odds with several individual perspectives, especially if they are similar to those of Major Cooper, as expressed above.  But what is good for the Army must prevail.

At the level of American foreign and defence policy, much of the same logic applies…at least to some observers.  In his latest book Washington Rules, Andrew J. Bacevich pulls no punches.  A former US Army colonel, a professor of International Relations, and the father of a fallen American soldier (his son was killed by an IED in Iraq in 2007), Bacevich’s perspective on American operations in Iraq and Afghanistan wars is one of  “permanent war”.  If one were to read only what he has written since 2007 (especially his The Limits of Power: The End of American Exceptionalism, 2008) it would easy to dismiss his work as that of a embittered, grief-stricken father.  While his current work certain contains a hint of what must be his profound sorrow, it is consistent with his theses previously advanced in his earlier books, which detail the continuity of American imperialism (American Empire, 2004) and increasingly, American militarism (The New American Militarism, 2005). Since the end of World War II, America has been engaged in a near-continual ‘semi-war’, much to the detriment of domestic society and priorities.    And what have Afghanistan and Iraq taught Bacevich?

Semiwarriors created the Washington rules.  Semiwarrors uphold them.  Semiwarriors benefit from their persistence.  Regardless of what threats actually exist, semiwarriors, some in uniform, others wearing suits, concur in the need to sustain high levels of military spending…Although careful to genuflect before the historic achievements of the citizen-soldier, they…nurture a warrior class largely divorced from the society it serves…Above all, what gets lost along the way is accountability.

Endings do not really exist, but milestones (real or confected) do serve to help take stock.  How have more than eight years of combat in Afghanistan and seven in Iraq affected people, organisations, and countries?  How will they affect the way in which they think about themselves, others, and the relationships between them in the future? 

It all depends on your perspective.

UPDATE: President Obama’s perspective, whether personal or merely political, seems to suggest that the war in Iraq ‘was not worth it’.  Sure, there were accomplishments: the US forces

defeated a regime that had terrorized its people.  Together with Iraqis and coalition partners who made huge sacrifices of their own, our troops fought block by block to help Iraq seize the chance for a better future.  They shifted tactics to protect the Iraqi people, trained Iraqi Security Forces, and took out terrorist leaders.  Because of our troops and civilians — and because of the resilience of the Iraqi people — Iraq has the opportunity to embrace a new destiny, even though many challenges remain.

However, those accomplishments came at a heavy price, not only directly–in terms of the lost lives and the impact that has on families, whether they are American or Iraqi–but, moreover, in terms of ‘opportunity costs’ at home:

Unfortunately, over the last decade, we’ve not done what’s necessary to shore up the foundations of our own prosperity.  We spent a trillion dollars at war, often financed by borrowing from overseas.  This, in turn, has short-changed investments in our own people, and contributed to record deficits.  For too long, we have put off tough decisions on everything from our manufacturing base to our energy policy to education reform.  As a result, too many middle-class families find themselves working harder for less, while our nation’s long-term competitiveness is put at risk.

One more perspective that, owing to its author, will shape the perspectives of countless others.  The extent to which it is accurate, or representative, is a matter for debate, but it will certainly take its place within the narrative fabric of how the US, and the world, views the ‘war in Iraq’.  Furthermore, it helps to shore up the narrative explanation to the non-war related question, “How in the hell are we in such a mess today?”

War is an emotional and very personal thing, and that extends beyond the intensity and gravity of combat; to waiting for loved ones, some of whom never return; to worrying about what a war might be doing to your country and its society.  However, experiencing war (as those above have done) is not the same as representing it. 

So, what is the message of the past, even the very recent past?  Whatever a particular author or narrator conveys it to be.    Caveat lector.

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Imagine a story about a middle-aged woman dying in a car crash. It’s tragic because her life is cut short, and for her children who lost their mother far too early. But make it 1997 and the most photographed woman in the world, and the whole country came to a weeping stop. As a university student, I was working nights in a hopelessly irritating summer job at the time, and if I ever hear Sinead O’Connor’s ‘nothing compares to you’ again, it will be way too soon…

Fast forward to 2010, and imagine the tragic and untimely death of a civil servant. For all intents and purposes the civil servant is a talented and diligent individual, and he dies in slightly odd circumstances. It would merit at best a short column on page 8.

But this story has the word ‘spy’ in it, and so the British press has gone loopy. Journalists have had a go at long-range, blind CSI; former-intelligence officers have been consulted about the empirically light imponderables; and academics have been dragged out of their murky towers, dusted off and made to say something interesting.. (to this end and as an irrelevant aside, I have the funniest answerphone message I’ve ever received, from one of the administrators in my department passing on a message from a journalist; I wish I knew how to share it with you all. The journalist’s message wasn’t funny, just the way it was passed on..)

But, let’s be clear. No-one bar the police and those who are investigating the scene and the circumstances knows anything about this case. No-one. Not the journalists trying to scratch out copy, not the ex-intelligence officers acting as talking heads, and not the academics trying to come up with best-sense for the media.

There probably was no need for a cycling website to report that the unfortunate Dr Williams was a keen cyclist , nor for the North Wales website to get terribly excited that he was probably welsh, welsh people die too… shocking, but true. There have been all sorts of other lurid claims and Janet and John extrapolations – he kept himself, to himself ergo he was a loner. If he’d have gone out drinking the headlines would have been ‘did party lifestyle lead to his death’. Some question-marks were raised about lovers (of all different types), but without a shred of evidence. His death signalled a catastrophic failure of security for some, but a ‘wrong place at the wrong time’ for others. Living in a street where some luminaries have lived was apparently very significant. Nonsense, he might just have wanted to live near to work. Even better, they might have paid for it. Bonus.

The reality check is this. A young and gifted civil servant died. His loss is tragic for his family, his friends and work colleagues. If his death was related to his work, that will be concerning and steps will be taken, but we – the general public –  need not fret about this, others much better qualified than us will take care of it. Be sure of that.

End the hysteria, stop flapping your arms around like an Italian taxi driver carved up by a lorry, report the facts (of which there are essentially none) and chill out. Leave the Williams family, his friends and his work colleagues to the mourn the loss

When on earth did Britain become so excitable…..

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The forthcoming issue of Contemporary Security Policy will contain, among a great many things, a review I wrote of Keith Shimko‘s latest book, The Iraq Wars and America’s Military Revolution (Cambridge University Press). The journal editors have kindly permitted the review to be reproduced, in advance and in full, here at Kings of War. By around December, the original will be published in volume 31, number 3 of Contemporary Security Review (which also, I should add, features an article of mine on ‘Peacebuilding After Afghanistan’).

Here is the review, courtesy of Contemporary Security Policy.


The Iraq Wars and America’s Military Revolution, Keith L. Shimko. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2010, pp. 249. $27.99 (paperback).

by David H. Ucko

Keith L. Shimko, associate professor of political science at Purdue University, makes the case that the US military has, since Operation Desert Storm, undergone a ‘revolution in military affairs’ (RMA) based on the emerging technologies of precision strike, communications, and reconnaissance. In a book published 2010, this claim is less novel than it is bold: to most, the RMA lost its appeal in 2003 when the promises of ‘transformation’ and ‘network-centric warfare’ proved largely irrelevant to the challenges facing the US military. Critics piled on, pointing out how the theories of RMA proponents had led to some of the grossest strategic missteps in recent American history.

If the RMA was the thesis, the insurgencies in Iraq and Afghanistan were the antithesis. What Shimko provides is a synthesis of the two, creating a middle ground between RMA proponents and critics. The result is a much-needed reworking of typical RMA assertions, informed by a decade of experience with insurgencies in various theatres. Thus, the RMA will not ‘lift the fog of war’ but significantly reduce it, and while Shimko still sees the associated capabilities as ‘revolutionary’, they are not, he explains, relevant to all types of war.

This attempt at reconciliation is the book’s strongest point. By placing the RMA in historical context, and by elaborating on the ‘newness’ of its related innovations, Shimko offers an assessment that is less hyperbolic than usual, yet that nonetheless gives commonly discredited concepts their due. Thus, charting a course between sales-pitches and diatribes, he astutely identifies ‘the limits as well as the promise of RMA technologies’ (p. 208).

The note of moderation relies on a dichotomy in the book between conventional warfare, where the RMA is said to fit perfectly, and stabilisation or counterinsurgency, where the RMA is less helpful. The bifurcation is evident structurally as well as conceptually. The book’s first half, covering the 1991-2003 period, largely ignores the challenges of insurgency, waxes lyrical about the RMA, and feels in its sources and content like it belongs (and may have been written) in the time-period it deals with. The second half, dealing with the Iraqi insurgency, leaves the RMA lexicon behind and focuses instead on the ascendance of a US counterinsurgency strategy. The implications of each isolated half are never carried over to inform the argument as a whole; nor does the concluding chapter convincingly integrate these two sides of the same coin.

Instead, the conclusion drawn from this bifurcation is that ‘the RMA was about a revolution in warfare, not postwar stabilisation’ (p. 145). This conclusion is commendable for flagging the ‘lower spectrum of operations’ and for its recognition that precision-guided munitions have only limited relevance in such settings. Nonetheless, the dichotomy between conventional and irregular wars is questionable, and even pernicious if it allows RMA advocates to dismiss the ‘lower end of operations’ as inconvenient exceptions to otherwise foolproof theories. This appears to be the tendency of the book: Shimko even refers to the conventional and insurgency phases of Operation Iraqi Freedom as two separate wars, and draws separate conclusions about the RMA from each. This allows for a glowing endorsement of the RMA on the basis of the war’s initial blows, and the ascription of subsequent trouble to unrelated factors.

Yet to judge the RMA solely on its ability to hit or reconnoitre targets, and conventional targets at that, is to mount an artificially bounded testing-ground in which these technologies can shine. Conclusions drawn on this basis are not wrong, but the context in which they are right is too limited to allow for broader statements about the nature of warfare. Furthermore, Shimko’s ‘two wars’ are not separate: from the number of troops deployed and lack of plans to the immediate ownership of seized territory and towns, the ‘post-war’ phase in Iraq overlapped with and stemmed directly from the manner in which the country was invaded. It follows that ‘revolutionary’ technology is never really ‘decisive for outcomes’, even in ‘conventional’ wars (p. 217), because conventional wars are themselves means toward political ends, and it is here that decisiveness comes into play. Even in World War II, where the conventional and post-war phases appear so distinct, planning for the occupation of Germany began as early as 1941 and related intimately to the manner in which the war was fought and also concluded.

In lesser ways too, the book’s defence of the RMA is problematic. Shimko argues that RMA theorists of the 1990s cannot be faulted for excluding from consideration the type of enemy that would eventually be faced, as no enemy presented itself at that time (p. 130). While this is doubtlessly true, does it justify the exceedingly narrow conception in RMA thinking of war essentially as a targeting drill, ending with the military defeat of fielded forces? Similarly, Shimko argues that it was not due to transformation fetishism that war planners failed to prepare for the stabilization of post-war Iraq, but because of the entrenched US military tradition to separate political and military thinking. Again, this is no doubt true, but does RMA theory look any better if it simply shares in, rather than exclusively own, this failing? The search for nuance is commendable but sometimes appears tendentious.

Still, the book is extremely readable and well researched, offering a detailed review of American defence modernisation over the last two decades. It is unfortunate that no primary research appears to have gone into the manuscript, as much of its content is therefore rather familiar. Also unfortunate is Shimko’s occasional tendency to highlight disagreements in the secondary literature without establishing where he himself stands. For example, the John Nagl vs. Gian Gentile polemic regarding counterinsurgency as a US military priority is recited in a few quotation-laden paragraphs, yet the author moves on before presenting his own take (p. 228). Indeed, upon finishing the book, it is unclear whether Shimko is advocating greater investment in RMA systems or a rebalancing of priorities toward ‘irregular war’.

Maybe the conclusion is just that RMA capabilities have some value, in targeting, reconnaissance and communications, in some settings, and against some adversaries. As a conclusion, this one is welcomingly moderate and well presented, but it nonetheless irks this reviewer, as it rests on a conceptual dichotomy of wars as either ‘conventional’ or not, which has not been helpful to the US military either in the past or today.

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Rebranding the Iraq War

by Captain Hyphen 19 August 2010

In the coverage of the American drawdown in Iraq, all of the celebratory ‘end of the combat mission’ rhetoric has largely glossed over the 50,000 US troops that will remain in the country. I was, therefore, pleasantly surprised to read this bit of honesty in the Washington Post, particularly this paragraph (UPDATE: for a more [...]

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Jerusalem Cavalry

by Thomas Rid 16 August 2010

This morning I nearly got killed by an Israeli soldier in the West Bank. Well, not how you think. Asaf Hazani, an Army reserve officer and PhD in anthropology from the Dado Center, the IDF think tank, took me cycling. Mountain biking, to be more accurate. For a 4-hour, 40k trip, with steep climbs and [...]

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New Books in History

by Kenneth Payne 14 August 2010

Here’s something that may be of interest to readers at KoW – a great website I’ve somehow managed to miss: New Books in History is hosted by Marshall Poe and features his interviews with authors about their work. Right now, I’m listening to Azar Gat talking about one of my favourite recent reads, his War [...]

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The future of the MoD

by Captain Hyphen 14 August 2010

Yesterday morning I took a break from writing the Afghanistan chapter of my thesis to watch the Secretary of State for Defence give a speech on the ongoing Strategic Defence and Security Review (SDSR) and the future of the Ministry of Defence (MoD). BBC News televised the entire speech and the Q&A live (BBC, Telegraph, The [...]

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The army after Afghanistan

by Kenneth Payne 13 August 2010

Over at Current Intelligence, I’ve had a few thoughts about what comes next for the British army. Broadly, three choices are possible. Stick to the current structure, persevere in the view that the messy, internal conflicts of the last two decades are the way of the future, and design your forces to fight ‘amongst the [...]

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War College Professor: “America has an amazing hammer.”

by The Faceless Bureaucrat 12 August 2010

In a recent op-ed piece Steven Metz stated that he believes the current American strategy in Afghanistan “totters on a dangerously flawed foundation.”  The piece is worth examining on that basis. Metz points out that despite rhetoric to the contrary, “the [Obama] administration [has] adjusted U.S. troop levels and shifted some operational methods but accepted the [...]

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‘Big Brother’ was just the warm-up act

by Rob Dover 10 August 2010

It might just be a sign of the times, or that journalists have caught the surveillance bug, but there’s an awful lot of stories flying around about surveillance into the lives of ordinary citizens. The latest is the British government’s decision to use credit-referencing agencies to try and find anomalous spending patterns amongst the population [...]

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